regenerate sensitivity analyis with 1.2 stim cost factor and 120/130 flow rates

Author: softwareengineerprogrammer

docs/_images/fervo_project_cape-5-sensitivity-analysis-irr.png

@@ -4,10 +4,10 @@
 
 Simulation Metadata
 ----------------------
- GEOPHIRES Version: 3.11.11
- Simulation Date: 2026-01-28
- Simulation Time:  14:51
- Calculation Time:      1.866 sec
+ GEOPHIRES Version: 3.11.12
+ Simulation Date: 2026-01-29
+ Simulation Time:  12:12
+ Calculation Time:      1.950 sec
 
                            ***SUMMARY OF RESULTS***
 

docs/_images/fervo_project_cape-5-sensitivity-analysis-irr.svg

@@ -6,8 +6,8 @@ Simulation Metadata
 ----------------------
  GEOPHIRES Version: 3.11.12
  Simulation Date: 2026-01-29
- Simulation Time:  08:52
- Calculation Time:      1.805 sec
+ Simulation Time:  12:12
+ Calculation Time:      1.832 sec
 
                            ***SUMMARY OF RESULTS***
 

docs/_images/fervo_project_cape-5-sensitivity-analysis-lcoe.png

@@ -33,9 +33,9 @@ Capital Cost for Power Plant for Electricity Generation, 1900, -- [US DOE, 2021]
 Exploration Capital Cost, 30, -- Equivalent to 2024b ATB NF-EGS conservative scenario exploration assumption of 5 full-size wells (NREL, 2025), plus $1M for geophysical and field work, plus 15% contingency, plus 12% indirect costs.
 
 Well Drilling Cost Correlation, 3, -- 2025 NREL Geothermal Drilling Cost Curve Update (Akindipe and Witter, 2025).
-Well Drilling and Completion Capital Cost Adjustment Factor, 0.9, -- 2024b Geothermal ATB ([NREL, 2025](https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2024b/geothermal)). Note: Fervo has claimed lower drilling costs equivalent to an adjustment factor of 0.8 (Latimer, 2025); the case study conservatively uses the higher ATB-aligned value.
+Well Drilling and Completion Capital Cost Adjustment Factor, 0.9, -- 2024b Geothermal ATB ([NREL, 2025](https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2024b/geothermal)). Note: Fervo has claimed lower drilling costs equivalent to an adjustment factor of 0.8 (Latimer, 2025); the case study conservatively uses the higher ATB-aligned value. See [Sensitivity Analysis](#sensitivity-analysis-section) for effect of different drilling costs on results.
 
-Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost per Injection Well, 4, -- The baseline stimulation cost is calibrated from costs of high-intensity U.S. shale wells (Baytex Energy, 2024; Quantum Proppant Technologies, 2020), which are the closest technological analogue for multi-stage EGS (Gradl, 2018). Costs are also driven by the requirement for high-strength ceramic proppant rather than standard sand, which would crush or chemically degrade (diagenesis) over a 30-year lifecycle at 200℃ (Ko et al., 2023; Shiozawa and McClure, 2014) and the premium for ultra-high-temperature (HT) downhole tools. Note that all-in costs per well are higher than the baseline cost because they include additional indirect costs and contingency.
+Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost per Injection Well, 4, -- The baseline stimulation cost is calibrated from costs of high-intensity U.S. shale wells (Baytex Energy, 2024; Quantum Proppant Technologies, 2020), which are the closest technological analogue for multi-stage EGS (Gradl, 2018). Costs are also driven by the requirement for high-strength ceramic proppant rather than standard sand, which would crush or chemically degrade (diagenesis) over a 30-year lifecycle at 200℃ (Ko et al., 2023; Shiozawa and McClure, 2014) and the premium for ultra-high-temperature (HT) downhole tools. Note that all-in costs per well are higher than the baseline cost because they include additional indirect costs and contingency. See [Sensitivity Analysis](#sensitivity-analysis-section) for effect of different stimulation costs on results.
 Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost per Production Well, 4, -- See Reservoir Stimulation Capital Cost per Injection Well
 
 Field Gathering System Capital Cost Adjustment Factor, 0.54, -- Gathering costs represent 2% of facilities CAPEX per [Matson, 2024](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/fervo-energy-technology-day-2024-entering-geothermal-decade-matson-n4stc/).