A long-form systems essay arguing that most metrics fail because they measure outcomes instead of accumulated pressure. It reframes collapse as a consequence of debt, buffer depletion, and delayed feedback, and explains why early warning depends on measuring pressure rather than predicting final events.
theory complex-systems decision-support early-warning-systems systems-thinking nonlinear-systems human-centered-ai risk-awareness instability-analysis ml-philosophy counterfactual-thinking long-form-essay preventive-analytics pressure-metrics failure-dynamics measurement-design buffer-depletion debt-accumulation
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Updated
Dec 19, 2025