Found adjudicating Build N attempt 2 (#462 thread). Measured on the sha-pinned puf_2024.h5 donor via puf_tax_unit_donor_from_arrays:
|
donor (E01100 lineage, uprated to 2024) |
SOI Pub 1304 Table 1.4 TY2023 |
| weighted carriers |
4.67M |
3.21M (1.45×) |
| weighted mass |
$24.31B |
$10.16B (2.39×) |
| weighted mean |
$5,206 |
$3,165 (1.64×) |
| weighted median |
$1,450 |
— |
The eCPS-era pipeline produced $13.69B / 4.01M units from the same PUF lineage (recorded in #462's motivation), so the current ETL's 2024-level uprating roughly doubles what the retired pipeline carried. Capital-gain distributions are a mean-reverting series (TY2015 — the PUF base year — was a historically heavy distribution year); uprating its level by a generic growth factor overstates the modern concept on both margins.
Interim: #486 pins the column's level to the ledger-fed aged Table 1.4 dollar fact at release time (the SS-components repair precedent), with the factor recorded in support_value_repairs. That is honest but uniform — it preserves the donor's (too-rich) shape.
Root fix: variable-specific donor uprating for distribution-class series — age E01100-class amounts by their own SOI chain (the #474 tips mechanism generalized) either in the irs-soi-puf ETL or at populace donor load, with the chain facts in the ledger. Candidates beyond non_sch_d: the other Table 1.4 rows the #464 blanket watches, and the 13 tail-concentrated sparse columns from the N attempt-2 battery (those also implicate #481's weighted-leaf-draw loss).
Relates #462, #464, #481, #486.
Found adjudicating Build N attempt 2 (#462 thread). Measured on the sha-pinned
puf_2024.h5donor viapuf_tax_unit_donor_from_arrays:The eCPS-era pipeline produced $13.69B / 4.01M units from the same PUF lineage (recorded in #462's motivation), so the current ETL's 2024-level uprating roughly doubles what the retired pipeline carried. Capital-gain distributions are a mean-reverting series (TY2015 — the PUF base year — was a historically heavy distribution year); uprating its level by a generic growth factor overstates the modern concept on both margins.
Interim: #486 pins the column's level to the ledger-fed aged Table 1.4 dollar fact at release time (the SS-components repair precedent), with the factor recorded in
support_value_repairs. That is honest but uniform — it preserves the donor's (too-rich) shape.Root fix: variable-specific donor uprating for distribution-class series — age E01100-class amounts by their own SOI chain (the #474 tips mechanism generalized) either in the irs-soi-puf ETL or at populace donor load, with the chain facts in the ledger. Candidates beyond non_sch_d: the other Table 1.4 rows the #464 blanket watches, and the 13 tail-concentrated sparse columns from the N attempt-2 battery (those also implicate #481's weighted-leaf-draw loss).
Relates #462, #464, #481, #486.