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[action-translation] resync: ar1_turningpts.md#105

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resync/ar1_turningpts
Jul 19, 2026
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[action-translation] resync: ar1_turningpts.md#105
mmcky merged 3 commits into
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resync/ar1_turningpts

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@mmcky mmcky commented Jul 18, 2026

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Forward Resync: ar1_turningpts.md

Source: QuantEcon/lecture-python.mystlectures/ar1_turningpts.md
Source commit: 59c6877
This PR resyncs the translation to match the current source document.

Reason: The Chinese translation is based on an entirely older version of this lecture using pymc instead of numpyro/jax, and is missing large portions of the source content: no gpu.md admonition, no AR1/create_ar1 NamedTuple classes, missing detailed derivation steps (e.g., the two-line equality in eq4 derivation), missing discussion of 'severe recession' definition details, missing P_t/N_t negative turning point full discussion, missing 'time to next severe recession' explanation nuances, missing detailed conclusion section, missing explanations of trace plots interpretation, missing comparison discussion paragraphs, and different/older code implementations (pure Python loops vs JAX vectorized code). Overall it reflects a substantially outdated and incomplete translation relative to the current English source, requiring re-translation.

Changes

Whole-file resync applied. The entire document was resynced in a single pass.


Created by action-translation forward resync

Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings July 18, 2026 07:16
@mmcky mmcky added action-translation-sync CLI resync PR (translate forward --github) resync Forward resync labels Jul 18, 2026
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Pull request overview

本 PR 将中文讲义 ar1_turningpts.md 进行整篇前向 resync,使其与上游英文源文档(含 numpyro/jax 版本实现)内容与结构对齐,并补齐旧译稿缺失的大段推导、讨论与代码实现。

Changes:

  • 将建模与推断实现从 pymc 更新为 numpyro + jax,并重写相关示例代码(含 AR1 NamedTuple、JAX 仿真与统计量计算)。
  • 补齐并重排讲义内容:新增/扩展推导步骤、样本路径统计量定义、比较与结论等段落。
  • 新增翻译同步状态文件 .translate/state/ar1_turningpts.md.yml,记录 resync 元数据。

Reviewed changes

Copilot reviewed 2 out of 2 changed files in this pull request and generated 5 comments.

File Description
lectures/ar1_turningpts.md 整篇 resync:更新到 numpyro/jax 版本,并补齐缺失内容与图表/代码单元
.translate/state/ar1_turningpts.md.yml 新增 resync 元数据(source sha、日期、模型、模式等)

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Comment on lines +29 to +30
```{include} _admonition/gpu.md
```
Comment on lines +513 to +516
# 绘制后验分布图和轨迹图
if dis_plot:
plot_data = az.from_numpyro(posterior=mcmc)
az.plot_trace_dist(plot_data, var_names=['ρ', 'σ'])
Comment on lines +582 to +586
next_up_turn = jnp.where(
jnp.any(up_seq == 1),
jnp.maximum(jnp.argmax(up_seq == 1), 1), # 排除0的返回值
len(y)
)
Comment on lines +587 to +591
next_down_turn = jnp.where(
jnp.any(down_seq == 1),
jnp.maximum(jnp.argmax(down_seq == 1), 1),
len(y)
)
Comment on lines +664 to +668
# 模拟未来路径并计算统计量
for n in range(N):
sim_path = AR1_simulate(rho, sigma, initial_path[-1], T1)
next_reces[n] = next_recession(np.hstack([initial_path[-3:-1], sim_path]))
severe_rec[n] = severe_recession(sim_path)
min_vals[n] = minimum_value(sim_path)
next_up_turn[n], next_down_turn[n] = next_turning_point(sim_path)
future_temp = future_path[n, :]
(next_reces_val, severe_rec_val, min_val_8q_val,
next_up_turn_val, next_down_turn_val
@mmcky mmcky added the action-translation PRs created by QuantEcon/action-translation label Jul 18, 2026
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github-actions Bot temporarily deployed to pull request July 18, 2026 10:33 Inactive
The resynced file keeps Chinese plot labels but reverted the import
cell to the source's exact form, losing the Source Han Serif setup -
Chinese in figures would render as missing glyphs. Residual #107
class found in the merge review; applied wave-wide.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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github-actions Bot commented Jul 18, 2026

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✅ Translation Quality Review

Verdict: PASS | Model: claude-sonnet-5 | Date: 2026-07-18


📝 Translation Quality

Criterion Score
Accuracy 9/10
Fluency 9/10
Terminology 9/10
Formatting 9/10
Overall 9/10

Summary: This is a high-quality, comprehensive resync translation that accurately preserves mathematical content, code structure, and technical terminology from the English source. The translation reads fluently in academic Chinese and maintains consistency with the provided glossary. Minor stylistic refinements could be made in a few sentences, but no critical accuracy or syntax issues were found. The added font-configuration code is a notable deviation worth flagging for verification, though it likely serves a legitimate rendering purpose in the Chinese-language build pipeline. Excellent handling of complex mathematical notation and LaTeX equations, all preserved accurately across the resync Technical terminology (e.g., 停时/stopping time, 后验分布/posterior distribution, 置信区间/confidence interval) is consistent and matches standard academic Chinese usage Code comments and docstrings are fully and naturally translated, maintaining professional tone Heading translations align well with the glossary and translation metadata block Complex conditional/turning-point definitions are translated with precision, preserving logical structure and mathematical rigor

Suggestions:

  • Font import code block: The translation adds extra code (matplotlib font configuration for Source Han Serif SC) that is not present in the English source's import cell. While this is likely a standard practice for Chinese CJK rendering support, it constitutes an addition not present in the original source and should be verified against project conventions for translation fidelity.
  • '样本路径特性'与'样本路径统计量' consistency: 'sample path properties' is translated as '样本路径特性' in the introduction, but the section title 'Calculating Sample Path Statistics' becomes '计算样本路径统计量' — this is fine since 'statistics' and 'properties' are different English terms, but ensure this distinction is intentional and consistent throughout (it appears to be handled correctly).
  • Minor phrasing: '这两种定义是等价的,因为 $\omega$ 只是通过 ${Y_t}$ 来决定路径统计量' slightly alters emphasis from source's 'because ω determines path statistics only through {Y_t}' — the word '只是' (merely/just) placement could be adjusted to '仅通过' for tighter fidelity to 'only through', though current phrasing is acceptable and natural.

🔍 Diff Quality

Check Status
Scope Correct
Position Correct
Structure Preserved
Heading-map Correct
Overall 10/10

Summary: The target document was correctly resynced to match the current source's structure, content, and code cells, with an accurate translation heading map.


This review was generated automatically by action-translation review mode.

@github-actions
github-actions Bot temporarily deployed to pull request July 18, 2026 11:34 Inactive
@github-actions
github-actions Bot temporarily deployed to pull request July 19, 2026 00:16 Inactive
@mmcky
mmcky merged commit dcace82 into main Jul 19, 2026
7 checks passed
@mmcky
mmcky deleted the resync/ar1_turningpts branch July 19, 2026 00:20
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