Add eval harness for testing AGENTS.md changes

[RoyLee1224]

What

Adds an eval harness (dev/skill-evals/) for testing AGENTS.md guidance against real scenarios. It answers: "does my AGENTS.md change actually affect agent behavior?"

uv run dev/skill-evals/eval.py --repeat 3

Compares the main branch AGENTS.md against your working tree. Each arm is a git worktree with the full repo, so the agent sees real source files. If AGENTS.md is unchanged, the working arm is skipped automatically.

No API key needed — authenticates via Claude Code OAuth (claude /login).

Demo: testing the newsfragment golden rule

Following the discussion in #release-management
Tested the golden rule (#67982) against real PRs where reviewers asked to remove newsfragments:

Case	with AGENTS.md	without
Provider pod leak #67333	3/3 ✓	0/3
API optimization #66696	3/3 ✓	1/3
Scheduler fix #64322	2/3	0/3
i18n cache fix #65720	1/3	0/3
Worker connection testing #62343 (positive — should create)	3/3 ✓	3/3
Coordinator layer #65958 (positive — should create)	3/3 ✓	3/3

Golden rule works for clear cases but struggles with ambiguous fixes where the model reasons "this bug affects users."

Open question: I'm not sure the current case selection is the right design. Would appreciate maintainers' thoughts on what cases are worth covering.

cli demo

UI demo(run npx promptfoo@0.121.17 view):

How it works

1. Creates git worktrees — one with main's AGENTS.md, one with your working tree version. Both are full repo checkouts.
2. Generates a promptfoo config with anthropic:claude-agent-sdk provider and structured JSON output.
3. Runs each case against all arms in parallel, reports diff.
4. Worktrees cleaned up on exit.

Files

dev/skill-evals/
  eval.py                      # entry point (Python, per dev/ guidelines)
  cases/newsfragment.yaml      # cases from real PRs (#64322, #65720, #66696, #67333)
  README.md                    # setup and usage
.pre-commit-config.yaml        # prek hook: remind to run eval on AGENTS.md changes
scripts/ci/prek/check_eval_reminder.py

Future use

• Auto-generate a summary table (like the one in this PR) from promptfoo results. Might be useful for pasting into PRs that change AGENTS.md; open to discussion
• As models improve, some guidance may become unnecessary — the eval helps determine which rules the model still depends on and which can be safely removed
• Add cases for routing rules that matter — the prek hook reminds contributors to run the eval when AGENTS.md changes
• Use the eval to validate moving guidance from AGENTS.md into skills — run before and after to confirm no regression
• Currently tests Claude only; the architecture (promptfoo + structured output) could extend to other agent runtimes

---

Was generative AI tooling used to co-author this PR?

• Yes, Claude Code (Opus 4.8)

---

• Read the Pull Request Guidelines for more information. Note: commit author/co-author name and email in commits become permanently public when merged.
• For fundamental code changes, an Airflow Improvement Proposal (AIP) is needed.
• When adding dependency, check compliance with the ASF 3rd Party License Policy.
• For significant user-facing changes create newsfragment: {pr_number}.significant.rst, in airflow-core/newsfragments. You can add this file in a follow-up commit after the PR is created so you know the PR number.

[RoyLee1224]

This PR focuses on the harness design plus one base case (the newsfragment golden rule); expanding coverage can come in follow-up PRs. I'm also not sure the current case design is right, maintainers' thoughts welcome!

[potiuk]

Nice. Just a static check failure :)

[jason810496]

Nice! It's really simple and lightweight (for the user setup perspective, I didn't check whether the promptfoo itself is lightweight or not).

I will update the casees I that just thought which also suitable for eval shortly.

[RoyLee1224]

CI all green ✅

[jason810496]

The provider CI failures are not related, merging this.