Basic Election Forecasting tool using Monte Carlo simulations and live polling data.
The 2019 Canadian elections forecast!
A Bayesian analysis of polling data and historical voting records to try to predict the outcome of the 2016 U.S. Presidential election.
A Bayesian forecast for the 2026 congressional elections. Woah!
Optimizing bets on political elections
Comparing eight forecasts of seats won at the UK local elections, 7 May 2026 — with confidence ranges and historical track record.
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